The East is heading into a favorable early-season pattern this week with cold temperatures, good snowmaking conditions, and natural snowfall. The deepest snow totals will favor New England, Quebec, and the Adirondacks, while higher terrain in West Virginia along the North Carolina/Tennessee border will also see impressive amounts.

The West will continue to see mild temperatures to start the week, with the storm track staying north of the Canadian border, where snow levels will be high initially.

A storm will then reach the West on Thursday-Friday with colder air and snow favoring the Sierra, Cascades, and British Columbia. The Central Rockies will pick up some snow as well.

Forecast for Mon (Nov 10):

A powerful cold front will move across the East with lake-effect snow showers developing around the Great Lakes, and northwest flow snow showers delivering impressive totals to the higher terrain in West Virginia and along the North Carolina/Tennessee line.

Rain will also change to snow across New York and New England as the cold front moves through later in the day.

In the West, a storm will impact BC, but warm air will lead to high snow levels that will be near to even above many ski resort summits. 

Forecast for Tue (Nov 11):

Lake-effect and terrain-driven snow showers will continue across the Northwest and Mid-Atlantic, with some areas in Northern Vermont receiving some sneaky good snow totals. In the West, light showers will continue across BC and Alberta with snow levels coming down slightly. 

Forecast for Wed (Nov 12):

Snow showers will continue across the Northeast and New England, with the combination of multiple days with natural snowfall, along with favorable snowmaking conditions, leading to a promising early-season outlook for ski areas.

In the West, another storm will reach BC, but once again, snow levels will be higher than we would like due to warm temperatures. 

Forecast for Thu (Nov 13):

A storm will dig further south along the West Coast as it makes landfall with snow and rain developing from California to Canada. The Sierra is favored for some of the highest snow totals, but snow levels will start out high initially before possibly coming down on Thursday night (low confidence).

Snow levels will also start out high across the Cascades and British Columbia before dipping on Thursday night as colder air arrives. 

In the East, it will be more of the same with chilly temperatures and snow showers continuing to favor Quebec, New England, and the Adirondacks. 

Forecast for Fri (Nov 14):

As the storm moves inland, snow will continue across the Sierra, Cascades, and Western Canada and snow levels are also expected to be lower as colder air moves in.

Snow will also develop across the Central Rockies as the storm moves inland, but confidence in the storm track and storm behavior is low, which leads to uncertainty as far as which areas will be favored. There is some potential for a cut-off low to develop over the Southern Rockies, which always makes for a tricky forecast.

Snow showers will also continue across the Northeast and New England for a 5th consecutive day.

Outlook for Sat (Nov 15) to Wed (Nov 19):

Colder air will move into the West this weekend and early next week, and it will start to feel more like winter in many areas.

The pattern looks somewhat complex with the potential for a split flow storm track. The Northwest should be best positioned for snowfall, but it's possible we could see another storm move across California and into the Southwest/Southern Rockies at some point (lower confidence in this scenario).

In the East, a warming trend is expected following this week's cold snap, but additional disturbances tracking across the Northeast could bring more snow showers to Northern New England. 

Thanks so much for reading! Next update on Wednesday (November 12).

Alan Smith 

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